⚡ up to 4.5¢ / share
Sports
resolves 2027-05-30
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Real Madrid
37.5¢
42.0¢
Buy YES@Poly 37.5¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 58.0¢
→ lock 4.5¢
Barcelona
59.5¢
58.5¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 3.7¢ / share
3 arb outcomes
Elections
resolves 2028-11-07
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
J.D. Vance
47.2¢
43.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 52.8¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 43.5¢
→ lock 3.7¢
Marco Rubio
19.4¢
22.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 19.4¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 77.5¢
→ lock 3.1¢
Ron DeSantis
2.1¢
4.9¢
Buy YES@Poly 2.1¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 95.1¢
→ lock 2.8¢
Tucker Carlson
2.6¢
3.6¢
— no edge
Ted Cruz
0.9¢
1.2¢
— no edge
Thomas Massie
0.7¢
1.2¢
— no edge
Ivanka Trump
0.8¢
1.1¢
— no edge
Glenn Youngkin
0.9¢
1.0¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 3.4¢ / share
2 arb outcomes
Elections
resolves 2028-11-07
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
20.9¢
17.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 79.1¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 17.5¢
→ lock 3.4¢
Jon Ossoff
14.8¢
17.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 14.8¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 82.5¢
→ lock 2.7¢
Gavin Newsom
14.3¢
12.5¢
— no edge
Kamala Harris
7.4¢
8.9¢
— no edge
Pete Buttigieg
5.2¢
5.2¢
— no edge
Rahm Emanuel
2.4¢
3.6¢
— no edge
Wes Moore
1.6¢
2.6¢
— no edge
James Talarico
2.4¢
1.7¢
— no edge
Ro Khanna
2.2¢
1.8¢
— no edge
Gretchen Whitmer
0.8¢
0.9¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 2.9¢ / share
4 arb outcomes
Elections
resolves 2026-12-31
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Gadi Eizenkot
54.6¢
57.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 54.6¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 42.5¢
→ lock 2.9¢
Avigdor Lieberman
5.1¢
7.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 5.1¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 92.5¢
→ lock 2.4¢
Benjamin Netanyahu
26.5¢
24.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 73.5¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 24.5¢
→ lock 2.0¢
Naftali Bennett
7.5¢
5.5¢
Buy NO@Poly 92.5¢ +
Buy YES@Kalshi 5.5¢
→ lock 2.0¢
Itamar Ben Gvir
0.9¢
1.0¢
— no edge
Yair Golan
0.7¢
1.0¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 2.8¢ / share
2 arb outcomes
Elections
resolves 2027-04-30
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Marine Le Pen
33.7¢
36.5¢
Buy YES@Poly 33.7¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 63.5¢
→ lock 2.8¢
Jordan Bardella
2.7¢
5.1¢
Buy YES@Poly 2.7¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 94.9¢
→ lock 2.4¢
Édouard Philippe
25.0¢
23.5¢
— no edge
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
14.5¢
13.0¢
— no edge
François Hollande
3.4¢
5.0¢
— no edge
Gabriel Attal
3.9¢
2.2¢
— no edge
Sarah Knafo
1.2¢
2.4¢
— no edge
Bruno Retailleau
2.1¢
1.9¢
— no edge
Éric Zemmour
0.8¢
1.0¢
— no edge
⚡ up to 2.5¢ / share
Sports
resolves 2027-05-30
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Barcelona
16.5¢
19.0¢
Buy YES@Poly 16.5¢ +
Buy NO@Kalshi 81.0¢
→ lock 2.5¢
Arsenal
15.5¢
15.0¢
— no edge
Bayern Munich
13.5¢
13.5¢
— no edge
Real Madrid
12.5¢
12.5¢
— no edge
Manchester City
8.5¢
9.0¢
— no edge
Liverpool
6.5¢
5.5¢
— no edge
Manchester United
2.9¢
4.5¢
— no edge
Napoli
0.8¢
2.0¢
— no edge
Aston Villa
1.1¢
1.5¢
— no edge
Sporting CP
0.7¢
1.0¢
— no edge