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Cross-venue prediction-market intelligence. Polymarket and Kalshi side-by-side, categorized, refreshed every minute. LLM-matched pairs surface the same market across both venues so spreads are one glance away.

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Live · 5-second polling

Live Crypto Markets — 15-min up/down

7 assets, both venues, side-by-side. Probabilities update every 5 seconds from each venue's order book. Spread column highlights the gap between Polymarket and Kalshi.

Current round closes in
—
Updated 19:38:29Z · polling…
Asset Polymarket Kalshi Spread Open
BTC · 15m
✓ on both venues
13.5%
Down 86.5%
14.5%
Down 85.5%
1.0 pp
P↗ K↗
ETH · 15m
✓ on both venues
2.5%
Down 97.5%
3.2%
Down 96.8%
0.7 pp
P↗ K↗
SOL · 15m
✓ on both venues
13.0%
Down 87.0%
14.5%
Down 85.5%
1.5 pp
P↗ K↗
XRP · 15m
✓ on both venues
14.5%
Down 85.5%
13.5%
Down 86.5%
1.0 pp
P↗ K↗
DOGE · 15m
✓ on both venues
6.5%
Down 93.5%
7.5%
Down 92.5%
1.0 pp
P↗ K↗
BNB · 15m
✓ on both venues
26.5%
Down 73.5%
25.5%
Down 74.5%
1.0 pp
P↗ K↗
HYPE · 15m
✓ on both venues
22.5%
Down 77.5%
17.5%
Down 82.5%
5.0 pp
P↗ K↗
Polymarket: {asset}-updown-15m events · Kalshi: KX{ASSET}15M series. Mid-price from each venue's order book (bid/ask spread). Updates every 5 seconds.
Aggregator

Prediction Market Aggregator

Side-by-side coverage of Polymarket and Kalshi. Filter by category; click any row to open the underlying market.

Arbs scan live · pools every 5 min
pools refresh in –:––
All 1371 Politics 112 Elections 518 Crypto 42 Sports 220 Finance 79 Economy 91 Technology 53 Culture 118 Weather 39 Geopolitics 44 Esports 34 Commodities 11 Mentions 8 Other 2
Cross-venue matched markets & arbitrage
⚡ 6 arb · 6 matched Polymarket ↔ Kalshi
Every open market on both venues is matched and scanned every minute — the moment prices cross into an arb it posts here (buy the highlighted side on each venue; one leg always pays $1), arbs first, then matched markets with no current edge. Mid-price implied odds, before fees.
⚡ up to 4.5¢ / share Sports resolves 2027-05-30
Polymarket LALIGA: 2027 Champion ↗ Kalshi La Liga Champion ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Real Madrid 37.5¢ 42.0¢ Buy YES@Poly 37.5¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 58.0¢ → lock 4.5¢
Barcelona 59.5¢ 58.5¢ — no edge
⚡ up to 3.7¢ / share 3 arb outcomes Elections resolves 2028-11-07
Polymarket Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 ↗ Kalshi 2028 Republican presidential nominee ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
J.D. Vance 47.2¢ 43.5¢ Buy NO@Poly 52.8¢ + Buy YES@Kalshi 43.5¢ → lock 3.7¢
Marco Rubio 19.4¢ 22.5¢ Buy YES@Poly 19.4¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 77.5¢ → lock 3.1¢
Ron DeSantis 2.1¢ 4.9¢ Buy YES@Poly 2.1¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 95.1¢ → lock 2.8¢
Tucker Carlson 2.6¢ 3.6¢ — no edge
Ted Cruz 0.9¢ 1.2¢ — no edge
Thomas Massie 0.7¢ 1.2¢ — no edge
Ivanka Trump 0.8¢ 1.1¢ — no edge
Glenn Youngkin 0.9¢ 1.0¢ — no edge
⚡ up to 3.4¢ / share 2 arb outcomes Elections resolves 2028-11-07
Polymarket Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 ↗ Kalshi 2028 Democratic presidential nominee ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 20.9¢ 17.5¢ Buy NO@Poly 79.1¢ + Buy YES@Kalshi 17.5¢ → lock 3.4¢
Jon Ossoff 14.8¢ 17.5¢ Buy YES@Poly 14.8¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 82.5¢ → lock 2.7¢
Gavin Newsom 14.3¢ 12.5¢ — no edge
Kamala Harris 7.4¢ 8.9¢ — no edge
Pete Buttigieg 5.2¢ 5.2¢ — no edge
Rahm Emanuel 2.4¢ 3.6¢ — no edge
Wes Moore 1.6¢ 2.6¢ — no edge
James Talarico 2.4¢ 1.7¢ — no edge
Ro Khanna 2.2¢ 1.8¢ — no edge
Gretchen Whitmer 0.8¢ 0.9¢ — no edge
⚡ up to 2.9¢ / share 4 arb outcomes Elections resolves 2026-12-31
Polymarket Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? ↗ Kalshi Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Gadi Eizenkot 54.6¢ 57.5¢ Buy YES@Poly 54.6¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 42.5¢ → lock 2.9¢
Avigdor Lieberman 5.1¢ 7.5¢ Buy YES@Poly 5.1¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 92.5¢ → lock 2.4¢
Benjamin Netanyahu 26.5¢ 24.5¢ Buy NO@Poly 73.5¢ + Buy YES@Kalshi 24.5¢ → lock 2.0¢
Naftali Bennett 7.5¢ 5.5¢ Buy NO@Poly 92.5¢ + Buy YES@Kalshi 5.5¢ → lock 2.0¢
Itamar Ben Gvir 0.9¢ 1.0¢ — no edge
Yair Golan 0.7¢ 1.0¢ — no edge
⚡ up to 2.8¢ / share 2 arb outcomes Elections resolves 2027-04-30
Polymarket Next French Presidential Election ↗ Kalshi Next French presidential election winner? ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Marine Le Pen 33.7¢ 36.5¢ Buy YES@Poly 33.7¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 63.5¢ → lock 2.8¢
Jordan Bardella 2.7¢ 5.1¢ Buy YES@Poly 2.7¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 94.9¢ → lock 2.4¢
Édouard Philippe 25.0¢ 23.5¢ — no edge
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14.5¢ 13.0¢ — no edge
François Hollande 3.4¢ 5.0¢ — no edge
Gabriel Attal 3.9¢ 2.2¢ — no edge
Sarah Knafo 1.2¢ 2.4¢ — no edge
Bruno Retailleau 2.1¢ 1.9¢ — no edge
Éric Zemmour 0.8¢ 1.0¢ — no edge
⚡ up to 2.5¢ / share Sports resolves 2027-05-30
Polymarket UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion ↗ Kalshi Champions League Winner ↗
OutcomePoly YESKalshi YESArbitrage
Barcelona 16.5¢ 19.0¢ Buy YES@Poly 16.5¢ + Buy NO@Kalshi 81.0¢ → lock 2.5¢
Arsenal 15.5¢ 15.0¢ — no edge
Bayern Munich 13.5¢ 13.5¢ — no edge
Real Madrid 12.5¢ 12.5¢ — no edge
Manchester City 8.5¢ 9.0¢ — no edge
Liverpool 6.5¢ 5.5¢ — no edge
Manchester United 2.9¢ 4.5¢ — no edge
Napoli 0.8¢ 2.0¢ — no edge
Aston Villa 1.1¢ 1.5¢ — no edge
Sporting CP 0.7¢ 1.0¢ — no edge
Sort by 24h volume Total volume Liquidity Resolves soonest
P
Polymarket
13 of 13 events
Fed Decision in September?
Economy $1,845,625 24h · 5 options
↗
No change
64.5%
25 bps increase
33.5%
25 bps decrease
0.9%
50+ bps increase
0.4%
50+ bps decrease
0.4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Economy $968,011 24h · 20 options
↗
December 31
77.9%
October 31
61.0%
September 30
41.5%
September 21
30.0%
September 14
22.5%
September 7
16.5%
August 31
3.5%
July 24
0.0%
+ 12 more on Polymarket ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Economy $325,843 24h
↗
YES
35.5%
NO
64.5%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Economy $131,543 24h · 13 options
↗
0 (0 bps)
87.4%
1 (25 bps)
9.5%
2 (50 bps)
2.7%
3 (75 bps)
0.7%
4 (100 bps)
0.4%
5 (125 bps)
0.1%
6 (150 bps)
0.1%
7 (175 bps)
0.1%
+ 5 more on Polymarket ↗
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Economy $96,233 24h
↗
YES
4.2%
NO
95.8%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Economy $72,768 24h · 8 options
↗
NVIDIA
71.5%
Apple
16.7%
Alphabet
10.5%
SpaceX
1.1%
Microsoft
0.7%
Amazon
0.2%
Tesla
0.1%
Saudi Aramco
0.1%
Largest Company end of August?
Economy $53,609 24h · 29 options
↗
NVIDIA
96.0%
Company A
50.0%
Company B
50.0%
Company C
50.0%
Company D
50.0%
Company E
50.0%
Company F
50.0%
Company G
50.0%
+ 21 more on Polymarket ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Economy $38,546 24h · 12 options
↗
December 31
18.0%
October 31
10.5%
September 30
6.0%
September 15
3.3%
August 31
0.4%
May 31
0.0%
June 30
0.0%
June 15
0.0%
+ 4 more on Polymarket ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Economy $33,520 24h
↗
YES
57.5%
NO
42.5%
Fed Decision in October?
Economy $13,038 24h · 5 options
↗
No change
71.5%
25 bps increase
23.5%
25 bps decrease
4.2%
50+ bps increase
1.2%
50+ bps decrease
1.2%
2nd Largest Company end of August?
Economy $12,177 24h · 29 options
↗
Apple
95.3%
Company A
50.0%
Company B
50.0%
Company C
50.0%
Company D
50.0%
Company E
50.0%
Company F
50.0%
Company G
50.0%
+ 21 more on Polymarket ↗
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
Economy $9,238 24h · 5 options
↗
No change
73.5%
25 bps increase
26.6%
25 bps decrease
1.1%
50+ bps decrease
0.7%
50+ bps increase
0.1%
Fed rate cut by...?
Economy $8,895 24h · 8 options
↗
December Meeting
12.5%
October Meeting
5.0%
September Meeting
1.5%
January Meeting
0.0%
March Meeting
0.0%
April Meeting
0.0%
June Meeting
0.0%
July Meeting
0.0%
K
Kalshi
30 of 78 events
Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
Economy $30,615 24h · 7 options
↗
Above 447,500 jobs
96.5%
Above 450,000 jobs
91.0%
Above 452,500 jobs
83.5%
Above 455,000 jobs
55.5%
Above 457,500 jobs
32.0%
Above 460,000 jobs
18.5%
Above 462,500 jobs
4.5%
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
Economy $25,880 24h · 10 options
↗
Before Jun 1, 2027
73.5%
Before May 1, 2027
64.0%
Before Apr 1, 2027
49.5%
Before Mar 1, 2027
41.0%
Before Feb 1, 2027
28.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027
19.0%
Before Dec 1, 2026
10.5%
Before Nov 1, 2026
5.0%
+ 2 more on Kalshi ↗
Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026
Economy $17,536 24h · 6 options
↗
Above 15.50 million
94.5%
Above 15.75 million
80.0%
Above 16.00 million
36.5%
Above 16.25 million
6.5%
Above 16.50 million
5.5%
Above 16.75 million
3.5%
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
Economy $16,165 24h · 7 options
↗
Above 91,500 MW
3.5%
Above 92,000 MW
2.5%
Above 92,500 MW
2.5%
Above 93,000 MW
2.5%
Above 94,000 MW
2.5%
Above 96,000 MW
2.5%
Above 98,000 MW
1.5%
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?
Economy $16,025 24h · 18 options
↗
Above 1.00%
92.5%
Above 0.50%
90.0%
Above 0.25%
89.0%
Above 0.00%
87.5%
Above 0.75%
87.0%
Above 1.25%
86.0%
Above 1.50%
81.5%
Above 1.75%
80.0%
+ 10 more on Kalshi ↗
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
Economy $13,273 24h · 10 options
↗
Above 235,000 jobs
97.5%
Above 240,000 jobs
94.5%
Above 245,000 jobs
93.5%
Above 250,000 jobs
90.5%
Above 255,000 jobs
76.5%
Above 260,000 jobs
45.0%
Above 265,000 jobs
24.0%
Above 270,000 jobs
7.5%
+ 2 more on Kalshi ↗
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
Economy $12,485 24h · 7 options
↗
Above 87.5 TWh
96.5%
Above 90.0 TWh
95.5%
Above 92.5 TWh
92.5%
Above 95.0 TWh
84.5%
Above 97.5 TWh
37.5%
Above 100.0 TWh
8.5%
Above 102.5 TWh
4.5%
Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world?
Economy $12,484 24h · 9 options
↗
Elon Musk
96.5%
Larry Page
80.0%
Jeff Bezos
47.0%
Sergey Brin
45.0%
Mark Zuckerberg
20.0%
Steve Ballmer
13.5%
Warren Buffett
10.0%
Larry Ellison
9.5%
+ 1 more on Kalshi ↗
Wisconsin corn yield in 2026
Economy $11,898 24h · 9 options
↗
Above 164 bu/acre
97.5%
Above 168 bu/acre
95.5%
Above 172 bu/acre
87.0%
Above 176 bu/acre
84.5%
Above 180 bu/acre
67.0%
Above 184 bu/acre
44.0%
Above 188 bu/acre
22.5%
Above 192 bu/acre
12.5%
+ 1 more on Kalshi ↗
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
Economy $11,837 24h · 13 options
↗
Above 80,000 jobs
97.5%
Above 81,000 jobs
95.5%
Above 82,000 jobs
92.5%
Above 83,000 jobs
86.5%
Above 84,000 jobs
66.0%
Above 85,000 jobs
37.5%
Above 86,000 jobs
21.5%
Above 87,000 jobs
13.0%
+ 5 more on Kalshi ↗
Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?
Economy $11,763 24h · 18 options
↗
Above 0.00%
97.5%
Above 0.25%
94.5%
Above 0.50%
94.5%
Above 1.25%
94.5%
Above 1.00%
94.0%
Above 0.75%
93.5%
Above 1.50%
93.5%
Above 1.75%
93.0%
+ 10 more on Kalshi ↗
Fed decision in Jan 2027?
Economy $9,748 24h · 5 options
↗
Fed maintains rate
59.5%
Hike 25bps
16.5%
Cut 25bps
11.5%
Hike >25bps
4.0%
Cut >25bps
3.5%
NYC median asking rent in December 2026
Economy $8,817 24h · 8 options
↗
Above $3,800
93.5%
Above $3,900
81.5%
Above $4,000
41.5%
Above $4,100
24.5%
Above $4,200
9.5%
Above $4,300
8.5%
Above $4,400
4.5%
Above $4,500
4.5%
When will Oura officially announce an IPO?
Economy $8,806 24h · 6 options
↗
Before Jan 1, 2028
94.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027
88.5%
Before Jul 1, 2027
88.0%
Before Oct 1, 2027
87.5%
Before Apr 1, 2027
86.0%
Before Oct 1, 2026
25.5%
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027
Economy $8,524 24h · 13 options
↗
Exactly 0
45.9%
Exactly 1
36.1%
Exactly 2
16.8%
Exactly 3
3.6%
Exactly 4
1.6%
Exactly 5
1.6%
Exactly 6
1.5%
Exactly 7
1.0%
+ 5 more on Kalshi ↗
Recession this year?
Economy $8,502 24h
↗
Starts
6.5%
US share of global GDP in 2026
Economy $8,464 24h · 11 options
↗
Above 25.1%
98.5%
Above 25.2%
97.5%
Above 25.3%
96.0%
Above 25.4%
95.5%
Above 25.5%
90.5%
Above 25.6%
87.5%
Above 25.7%
53.5%
Above 25.8%
39.0%
+ 3 more on Kalshi ↗
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
Economy $8,004 24h
↗
By 2030
16.5%
Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
Economy $7,890 24h · 9 options
↗
Above 8.4 million TEUs
95.5%
Above 8.5 million TEUs
91.5%
Above 8.6 million TEUs
81.5%
Above 8.7 million TEUs
70.5%
Above 8.8 million TEUs
50.5%
Above 8.9 million TEUs
40.5%
Above 9.0 million TEUs
25.5%
Above 9.1 million TEUs
7.5%
+ 1 more on Kalshi ↗
Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
Economy $7,329 24h · 7 options
↗
Above $200,000
94.5%
Above $225,000
91.5%
Above $250,000
74.5%
Above $275,000
36.5%
Above $300,000
16.5%
Above $325,000
7.5%
Above $350,000
5.5%
Visitors to Florida in 2026
Economy $7,050 24h · 7 options
↗
Above 136 million
96.5%
Above 138 million
93.5%
Above 140 million
76.5%
Above 142 million
58.5%
Above 144 million
18.5%
Above 146 million
7.5%
Above 148 million
5.5%
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
Economy $6,855 24h · 21 options
↗
Above $500 billion
87.0%
Above $600 billion
78.5%
Above $700 billion
65.5%
Above $800 billion
43.5%
Above $900 billion
25.0%
Above $1.1 trillion
18.0%
Above $1.3 trillion
18.0%
Above $1.0 trillion
17.0%
+ 13 more on Kalshi ↗
Recession in 2027?
Economy $6,289 24h
↗
Yes
26.5%
How high will gas prices in California get this year?
Economy $6,101 24h · 10 options
↗
Above $6.80
48.5%
Above $6.60
41.0%
Above $6.40
35.0%
Above $6.20
34.0%
Above $7.40
21.0%
Above $7.60
20.0%
Above $7.20
13.5%
Above $7.00
10.5%
+ 2 more on Kalshi ↗
Wisconsin total milk production in 2026
Economy $5,939 24h · 5 options
↗
Above 32.75 billion pounds
96.5%
Above 33.00 billion pounds
89.5%
Above 33.25 billion pounds
67.5%
Above 33.50 billion pounds
23.5%
Above 33.75 billion pounds
5.5%
How many companies will go bankrupt this year?
Economy $5,843 24h · 13 options
↗
Above 550
97.0%
Above 600
95.5%
Above 650
94.5%
Above 900
58.0%
Above 750
53.0%
Above 950
50.0%
Above 800
46.5%
Above 1,050
38.0%
+ 5 more on Kalshi ↗
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
Economy $5,725 24h · 10 options
↗
Before Jun 30, 2027
7.5%
Before May 1, 2027
5.5%
Before Apr 1, 2027
4.5%
Before Feb 1, 2027
3.5%
Before Mar 1, 2027
3.5%
Before Dec 1, 2026
2.5%
Before Oct 1, 2026
2.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.0%
+ 2 more on Kalshi ↗
Nevada visitor volume in 2026
Economy $5,676 24h · 8 options
↗
Above 47 million
94.5%
Above 48 million
92.5%
Above 49 million
87.5%
Above 50 million
50.0%
Above 52 million
35.0%
Above 51 million
34.5%
Above 53 million
5.5%
Above 54 million
4.5%
State of the economy at the end of 2026
Economy $5,479 24h · 4 options
↗
Soft landing
57.0%
Overheating
30.2%
Stagflation
7.5%
Slack / disinflation
2.1%
Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
Economy $5,439 24h · 6 options
↗
Above 545,000 jobs
96.5%
Above 550,000 jobs
92.5%
Above 555,000 jobs
55.0%
Above 560,000 jobs
11.5%
Above 565,000 jobs
7.5%
Above 570,000 jobs
4.5%
Show all 78 events ↓
Sources: Polymarket Gamma API (free) · Kalshi REST API (RSA-PSS signed). Market pools, cross-venue matched pairs and the arbitrage scan all refresh every 5 minutes; the live 15-min crypto panel updates every 5 seconds; resolved markets drop on the next page load. Page loads serve only from cache — no API calls per visitor. LLM-verified cross-venue matching (gpt-4o-mini) included.
How it works

Built for speed, scaled for everyone

Polled venues are cached in Redis. LLM market-matching runs async on its own worker. The same data drives a paid REST + WebSocket API.

⚡

Polled + cached

Polymarket and Kalshi polled once per minute, cached in Redis. Visitors hit cache; venues never see our traffic spikes. WebSocket push for sub-second updates is on the roadmap.
🧠

LLM-matched markets

"BTC above $70k on Jun 30" on Polymarket = "BTC ≥ 70000 on 2026-06-30" on Kalshi. Matching runs async on a worker and is cached — never blocks a quote.
🛰️

REST + Data API

The same data that drives the dashboard is exposed via paid REST + WebSocket API for traders building their own signals. Tiers scale by request rate.